← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Pilsner To The Post Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
J Street
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/1 Est. 26%
Mr Fox says
J Street (SR:75, 5/1, Wgt:9-8) combines the strongest multi-signal case in this field. Course:W1P2 at Southwell is a concrete edge on a track where specialists consistently hold an advantage, and the market has shortened 13% — money is coming for a reason. Within the Easterby yard, J Street is clearly the #1 runner: the more experienced jockey booking (Callum Hutchinson 12% strike rate vs Shay Farmer 8%), tighter market move inward vs Star Noir's dramatic 37% drift, and a superior recent course form record. Running off a mark only 2lb above last win (MarkMv:+2), the weight of 9-8 is competitive, and ClassMv:= means no step up in grade to navigate. Each-way alternative: Brazilian Belle. Main danger: Brazilian Belle — Brazilian Belle (SR:72, 9/1) has steamed in 31% in the market, shares J Street's Course:W1P2 advantage at Southwell, and runs off a mark just 1lb above last win — the market move suggests connections are confident despite the '0' in recent form.
Full result
Winner: Opal Storm (GB) at SP 12/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Opal Storm 11/1
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2
Star Noir 5/1
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3
Goyard Fox #4 10/3
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4
J Street Fox #1 6/1
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5
Rogue Bullet 6/1
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6
Lil Brother 20/1
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7
Brazilian Belle Fox #2 10/1
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—
Tanjen Fox #3 10/3
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Thornaby Pearl -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
J Street 5/1 🏁 4TH
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2
Brazilian Belle 9/1 7TH
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3
Tanjen 4/1
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4
Goyard 10/3 🥉 3RD