Sky Bet Peter Nolan Handicap Stakes

14:40 York Sat 10 Oct 2026 0m7f192y Class 4 Soft 20 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Weffaag

SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 Est. 32%

10TH

Mr Fox says

Weffaag (SR:92, 11/4) is the clear class standout in this field — the SR-92 mark is meaningfully ahead of the next best Canvas at SR:86 and represents a significant ability edge in a Class 4 sprint handicap. The Haggas/Marquand combination is formidable (23% and 16% career strike rates respectively), and the form string 0-321 shows progressive improvement culminating in a last-time-out win, while DistFit:+ confirms proven ability at this trip. Carrying 9-7 — not a punishing weight — and running off a mark only 2lb higher than the last winning mark, the handicapper hasn't hit hard. The only reservation is GoingFit:? on the soft, meaning soft-ground suitability is unproven, but at 11/4 with the class advantage this significant, the form and connections case is compelling. Each-way alternative: Canvas. Main danger: Canvas — Canvas (SR:86, 5/1) has steamed in 23% in the market, holds course form of W1P2 at York, and a last-time-out win (form ending -221) suggests peak fitness — the money looks meaningful and course specialists on soft ground can upset even class-superior rivals.

Verify· #22601

Full result

Winner: Callianassa (IRE) at SP 11/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.