← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Sky Bet Extra Places Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Minstrel Knight
SPECULATIVE Advised 8/1 Est. 22%
Mr Fox says
Minstrel Knight (SR:87, 8/1, 9-0) shares the field's joint-highest SR with Alfred Wincham but carries the same weight while showing confirmed distance fit (DistFit:+) and going fit (GoingFit:+) — two critical qualifiers on soft ground over 1m5f188y that Alfred Wincham cannot match. The market has steamed in 40% from opening, the strongest inward move in the field, suggesting informed money is backing this horse. Trainer Edward Bethell (17% strike rate, solid yard) and jockey Daniel Tudhope (18% strike rate) represent a high-quality booking. Course form of W1P1 at York adds further confidence. The recent form string 020-00 looks unimpressive on the surface, but the mark has dropped 36lb since last win — a massive reduction that puts this horse in a legitimately competitive position for the first time in a long while, and connections clearly believe conditions are right today. Each-way alternative: Alfred Wincham. Main danger: All In You — All In You (SR:78, 4/1) has steamed in 45% — the second-largest market move in the field — and runs off a mark 33lb lower than its last win, a dramatic drop that combined with a hood (HG:h) suggests connections have engineered conditions to produce a performance; at 4/1 the market is clearly pricing in a big run.
Full result
Winner: Alfred Wincham (IRE) at SP 11/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Alfred Wincham Fox #2 5/1
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2
Haveyoumissedme 40/1
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3
Northwest Passage 12/1
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4
Master Builder 10/1
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5
All In You Fox #3 9/2
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6
Bulletin 11/1
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7
Cascade Hall 8/1
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8
High Point 28/1
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9
Spartan Army 33/1
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10
Divine Knight Fox #4 4/1
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11
Minstrel Knight Fox #1 8/1
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12
Spirit of Acklam 11/1
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Real Dream 16/1
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Hermetic 20/1
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Wonder -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Minstrel Knight 8/1 11TH
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2
Alfred Wincham 5/1 SP 11/4F 🏆 WON
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3
All In You 4/1 5TH
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4
Divine Knight 4/1 10TH