← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Malone Windows Supporting Louth GAA Handicap Steeplechase
Mr Fox’s call
Smallcraftwarning
SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Smallcraftwarning (SR:113, 10/3) shares the top SR in the field but carries the lightest weight of the leading contenders at 10-5 — a meaningful 21lb edge over top-weight Anodandawink and 14lb less than Jukebox Johnny. The form string 513411 is the most consistent and progressive in the race, with back-to-back wins in the rightmost positions, and DistFit:+ confirms genuine stamina over this 3m+ trip. The MarkMv:-8 indicates the mark has dropped since its last win, a further structural advantage. The GoingFit:- is the one flag to respect, but on good ground today rather than extremes, the weight-in-hand and current winning form outweigh the going concern. Each-way alternative: Jukebox Johnny. Main danger: Pourquoi Poi — Pourquoi Poi (SR:108, 3/1) carries just 10-9, has shortened 13% in the market alongside Jukebox Johnny, and at age 5 is young enough to be still improving — the GoingFit:- is a concern but the weight and market confidence make it a genuine threat.
Full result
Winner: Pourquoi Poi (IRE) at SP 100/30. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Pourquoi Poi Fox #4 3/1
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2
Smallcraftwarning Fox #1 11/4
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3
Charlie Luciano 20/1
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4
Jukebox Johnny Fox #2 11/4
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5
Clonbury Bridge 16/1
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6
Anodandawink Fox #3 7/2
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7
Gatsby Grey 33/1
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8
Tullybeg 50/1
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9
Sphagnum 33/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Smallcraftwarning 10/3 🥈 2ND
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2
Jukebox Johnny 5/2 🏁 4TH
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3
Anodandawink 7/2 6TH
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4
Pourquoi Poi 3/1 SP 100/30 🏆 WON