← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Birdcatcher Premier Nursery Handicap
Mr Fox’s call
Pink Venom
MEDIUM Advised 11/8 SP 11/10F Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Pink Venom (SR 106, 11/8) is the clear class leader in this field by a substantial margin — 14 SR points clear of the next-best Lars Soldier (SR 91) — and backs it up with a live form line of 73311, showing back-to-back wins into this race. DistFit:+ confirms proven ability at this trip, and a Mkt:in10% steam since opening shows market confidence rather than a false favourite. The MarkMv:+10 is the one caution — running off a mark 10lb higher than last win is a genuine penalty — but Ben Coen (11%, 1875 runners) is an accomplished booking and Murtagh's yard operates at 11% strike rate across a large sample, suggesting this is a yard that sends horses out ready. The weight of 9-10 is also manageable; she carries less than top-weighted La Tache (9-12) while holding a decisive SR edge over that rival. Each-way alternative: Oristown Boy. Main danger: Oristown Boy — Oristown Boy (SR 90, 11/2) has steamed in 28% in the market — the strongest move in the race — carries the lightest weight at 9-6, and a form line of 04137 shows a recent placed run at a course/class that warrants respect; the money clearly knows something and his light weight on soft ground is a real asset.
Full result
Winner: Pink Venom (IRE) at SP 11/10F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Pink Venom Fox #1 5/4
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2
Oristown Boy Fox #2 11/2
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3
I Ready 25/1
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4
La Tache Fox #4 8/1
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5
Lars Soldier 5/1
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6
Equus Victor Fox #3 7/1
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7
New Yorker 10/1
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—
Roeillaun 11/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Pink Venom 11/8 SP 11/10F 🏆 WON
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2
Oristown Boy 11/2 🥈 2ND
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3
Equus Victor 11/2 6TH
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4
La Tache 7/1 🏁 4TH