RFL Steels Stakes (Listed)

15:28 Naas Sat 10 Oct 2026 0m5f205y Class 1 Soft 9 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Bamako Beach

SPECULATIVE Advised 5/2 SP 3/1J Est. 30%

🏆 WON

Mr Fox says

Bamako Beach (SR:111, 5/2) shares the field's joint-highest SR with Two Stars but carries 9-6 — a notable 1lb weight advantage over Two Stars and a full 6lb edge on Big Gossey. The form string -27117 shows a horse in peak form: three consecutive top-two finishes culminating in back-to-back wins, and at just three years old this is the most progressive profile in the race. M D O'Callaghan runs at a solid 12% strike rate from 673 runners — a yard that knows when to pitch a young improver into Listed company. The DistFit:? and GoingFit:? flags are the key risks (soft ground and this trip both untested), but at 5/2 the market is pricing in that uncertainty, and the four-star AI probability rating reflects genuine cross-signal alignment: SR, recency of form, weight advantage, and yard confidence all point the same way. Each-way alternative: La Brodeuse. Main danger: Two Stars — Two Stars (SR:111) matches Bamako Beach on ability and has a Course:W1P1 record at Naas that brings proven track intelligence — if the 391-day absence is forgiven by the market drift, the course form on soft ground could be decisive.

Verify· #22632

Full result

Winner: Bamako Beach (IRE) at SP 3/1J. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

1 Bamako Beach Fox #1 M D O'Callaghan · Jamie Powell 5/2
2 Big Gossey Fox #4 Charles O'Brien · Robert Whearty 13/2
3 Two Stars Fox #2 J A Stack · J M Sheridan 5/2
4 Staysound Susie A. Slattery · Andrew Slattery 14/1
5 La Brodeuse Fox #3 Kevin Ryan · Shane Foley 11/2
6 Luna Mia Henry de Bromhead · Wesley Joyce 100/1
7 Tango Flare Patrick T Foley · Luke McAteer 22/1
8 Thunderbear Stephen Thorne · Jack Kearney 6/1
9 Saint Agatha J A Stack · Ben Coen 18/1

Top 4 — how each finished

1 Bamako Beach 5/2 SP 3/1J 🏆 WON
2 Two Stars 9/4 🥉 3RD
3 La Brodeuse 6/1 5TH
4 Big Gossey 13/2 🥈 2ND