← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox

Dragonbet / Ebf Mares' 'national Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Ebf Mares' Nh Novices' Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)

13:27 Chepstow Sun 11 Oct 2026 2m3f100y Class 3 Good to Soft 7 runners

View the racecard →

Mr Fox’s call

Princess Day silks

Princess Day

MEDIUM Advised 4/5 Est. 42%

🥈 2ND

Mr Fox says

Princess Day (SR 165, 4/5) is the clear class leader in this field — her SR sits 10 points clear of the next-best Connells Cross (SR 155) and 12 points above Kamille Au Kanada and Divine Diva (both SR 153). Crucially, she owns Course:W1P1 at Chepstow and GoingFit:+ confirming she handles today's good-to-soft conditions, two alignment signals no rival can match. Dropping two class tiers (ClassMv:↓2) means she meets a significantly weaker field than her recent assignments, and Jeremy Scott's yard clearly favours her as the #1 runner given the superior jockey booking of Lorcan Williams over Rex Dingle on stablemate Midnight Doyen. The market drift of 12% is worth noting but she remains the 4/5 favourite, and in a small 7-runner novice field with this degree of class superiority plus confirmed course and going credentials, the drift likely reflects a 185-day absence rather than any fundamental concern. Each-way alternative: Kamille Au Kanada. Main danger: Connells Cross — Connells Cross leads the field on SR (155) excluding Princess Day, has the tongue-tie retained from a recent '211-' form sequence that includes two victories, and at 11/1 offers genuine place value if Princess Day underperforms on her first run in 185 days.

Verify· #22792

Full result

Winner: Divine Diva (IRE) at SP 7/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Divine Diva silks Divine Diva Fox #4 Dan Skelton · Harry Skelton 5/1
  2. 2 Princess Day silks Princess Day Fox #1 Jeremy Scott · Lorcan Williams 4/6
  3. 3 Connells Cross silks Connells Cross Fox #3 Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls · Ciaran Gethings 16/1
  4. 4 Walkinthemournes silks Walkinthemournes Joe Tizzard · Brendan Powell 12/1
  5. 5 Kamille Au Kanada silks Kamille Au Kanada Fox #2 Anthony Honeyball · Sam Twiston-Davies 5/1
  6. — Bath Taverness silks Bath Taverness David Evans · Robert Dunne 80/1
  7. — Midnight Doyen silks Midnight Doyen Jeremy Scott · Rex Dingle 25/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Princess Day silks Princess Day 4/5 🥈 2ND
  2. 2 Kamille Au Kanada silks Kamille Au Kanada 13/2 5TH
  3. 3 Connells Cross silks Connells Cross 11/1 🥉 3RD
  4. 4 Divine Diva silks Divine Diva 4/1 SP 7/1 🏆 WON