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Alderbrook Handicap Stakes (For Professional Jump Jockeys) (GBBPlus Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Klycot
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/1 Est. 26%
Mr Fox says
Klycot (SR:78, 5/1) is the second-highest rated horse in the field and is steaming into the market with an 18% move inward — significant money arriving without obvious explanation suggests connections are confident. At 12-0 it carries 1lb less than top-weight Carthusian (SR:84, 12-1) and crucially avoids the going concern that dogs Carthusian (GoingFit:-) on this good-to-soft surface. Trainer Richard Bandey runs a tight ship with a 9% strike rate from only 78 runners — horses he targets in spots like this tend to be primed. The form string 72503- shows a horse that has been inconsistent but the market money arriving strongly on today's ground conditions suggests a switch in fortunes is anticipated. Each-way alternative: Aggagio. Main danger: Carthusian — Carthusian carries the highest SR in the field at 84 and won last time out (form ending in 1), and despite the GoingFit:- and 18% drift, Sean Quinlan is a highly capable pilot who could compensate for the ground concern if the pace suits over 2m.
Full result
Winner: Division Day (GB) at SP 22/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Division Day 11/1
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2
Mr Freedom 15/2
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3
Rogue Empire 11/1
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4
Fair Dinkum 20/1
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5
Kotari 13/2
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6
Carthusian Fox #2 11/4
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7
Klycot Fox #1 5/1
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8
Easter Icon 50/1
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9
Aggagio Fox #4 11/1
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10
Poncho 12/1
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11
Solar Pass 10/1
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12
Arc Zoosve Fox #3 12/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Klycot 5/1 7TH
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2
Carthusian 10/3 6TH
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3
Arc Zoosve 11/1 12TH
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4
Aggagio 10/1 9TH