← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Irish EBF Auction Series Race Final
Mr Fox’s call
Dawnmore
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Dawnmore (SR:85, 4/1) is the standout on market signals, having steamed in by 57% — the most dramatic market move in the field — which is a powerful indicator in a €72,000 auction series final where connections know their horse's readiness. Running just 3 days ago suggests peak fitness rather than fatigue at this level, and DistFit:+ confirms the 7f trip suits. The Bolger yard at 7% strike rate is modest but Seamie Heffernan's booking (16%, 1302 runners) is the most accomplished jockey-stat pairing in the race, and such yards don't deploy Heffernan without conviction. At 4/1 with a form line of 5-2-3-2, the horse has placed consistently and looks primed for a step forward in a final-type contest on soft ground. Each-way alternative: Seven Nation Army. Main danger: Seven Nation Army — Seven Nation Army (SR:93, joint-highest in field, 13/2) has steamed in 32% in the market, carries the best SR rating alongside The Scallionator, and O'Brien deploying J M Sheridan rather than Ben Coen or Chris Hayes is the yard signal worth noting — the form line shows a recent '1' and this is clearly the stable's number one runner of the three.
Full result
Winner: Diamonds And Dames (IRE) at SP 13/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Diamonds And Dames Fox #4 6/1
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2
Banks Of The Boyne 10/1
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3
Letmeentertainyou 9/1
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4
Dawnmore Fox #1 10/3
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5
Arizona Raider 9/1
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6
Just One Show 28/1
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7
Eighteenth Smiles 14/1
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8
The Scallionator 9/2
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9
Silk Twist 100/1
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10
Seaxburh 17/2
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11
Revelator 50/1
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12
Whosinterviewinwho Fox #3 9/2
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—
Seven Nation Army Fox #2 9/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Dawnmore 4/1 🏁 4TH
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2
Seven Nation Army 13/2
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3
Whosinterviewinwho 10/3 12TH
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4
Diamonds And Dames 13/2 SP 13/2 🏆 WON