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Racing TV EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (Div I) (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Showcasing Glory
MEDIUM Advised 8/11 SP 9/4F Est. 48%
Mr Fox says
Showcasing Glory (SR 85, 8/11) is the market's strong favourite and, uniquely in this field, has actual racecourse experience to draw on — a form line of 7-1 showing improvement to a win last time. While the SR of 85 looks modest against the debutants rated 143-146, those figures are assigned to horses with zero racecourse form, meaning the SR gap carries significant uncertainty. The favourite carries 9-11 (7lb more than most rivals) but on an AW surface over 7f against a field of largely unraced animals, the edge of proven form and market conviction — held at 8/11 with no drift — outweighs the weight disadvantage. Billy Loughnane (18%, 3,139 runners) is a high-quality booking for Charlie Johnston (13%, 2,562 runners), and the combination of confirmed winning form at the same class, stable confidence and jockey quality makes this a straightforward call in a race where most rivals are stepping into the unknown. Each-way alternative: Radical Bay. Main danger: Boy Basilica — Boy Basilica (SR 146, 13/2) has the joint-highest SR in the field and, while drifting slightly (Mkt:out13%), Richard Hughes's yard operates at a solid 15% strike rate — if this debut runner has shown anything at home, a big run first time out is entirely plausible.
Full result
Winner: Showcasing Glory (IRE) at SP 9/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Showcasing Glory Fox #1 13/8
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2
Shellyandback Fox #4 7/1
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3
Pien De Dane 80/1
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4
The Sergeon 14/1
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5
Al Alami 7/2
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6
Boy Basilica Fox #2 10/3
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7
Red Tail 9/1
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8
Comeonfeelthenoise 33/1
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9
Penselwood 80/1
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10
Radical Bay Fox #3 14/1
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11
Little Copper 150/1
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—
Paddy Cool 80/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Showcasing Glory 8/11 SP 9/4F 🏆 WON
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2
Boy Basilica 13/2 6TH
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3
Radical Bay 18/1 10TH
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4
Shellyandback 9/1 🥈 2ND