← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Juddmonte EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Rhythm of My Heart
MEDIUM Advised 4/9 SP 2/11F Est. 52%
Mr Fox says
Rhythm of My Heart (SR:91, 4/9) is the warm favourite and the challenge test demands a hard negative on its runner line before opposing it — none exists. ClassMv:= confirms no rise in grade, form reads 22 (two placed efforts) showing consistent ability against rivals, and Hector Crouch at 18% career strike rate over 1,943 runners is a confident booking. Fear The Dark's Mkt:in27% is compelling but this is a debutante with DistFit:? and GoingFit:? — two unknowns that the favourite does not carry — and in novices our own record shows picks against the favourite win half as often, a penalty the case for Fear The Dark cannot fully absorb. Each-way alternative: Fear The Dark. Main danger: Fear The Dark — Fear The Dark's SR:150 is second in the field and the Mkt:in27% move — the strongest backing in the race — suggests Oliver Cole's yard holds genuine confidence in an unexposed debutante who could arrive with latent ability that unsettles the favourite.
Full result
Winner: Rhythm Of My Heart (GB) at SP 2/11F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Rhythm of My Heart Fox #1 1/4
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2
Thespian Queen 10/1
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3
Heavenly Parole Fox #3 11/1
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4
Freshie 33/1
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5
Fear The Dark Fox #2 6/1
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6
Renascent 50/1
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7
Blue Vixen 80/1
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8
Ortenzian Twilight 100/1
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9
Sueboys 100/1
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10
Mystic Ballistic 100/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3