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Mr Fox’s call
Jimmy Knocker
SPECULATIVE Advised 13/2 Est. 15%
Mr Fox says
Jimmy Knocker (SR:64, 13/2) has steamed in 35% in the market — the joint-strongest move in this field — which is a significant signal in a Class 6 AW handicap where connections rarely back blindly. He carries 9-9, the joint-top weight, but that is offset by a class drop (ClassMv:↓1) and Luke Morris aboard, a jockey with 3,072 career rides who knows Kempton intimately. The DistFit:- is a concern at 6f, but the market confidence at 35% in suggests connections believe the trip works today — possibly helped by the tongue-tie (HG:t) controlling his running style. The SR of 64 sits mid-field but the combination of the dramatic market move, class relief, and a proven jockey booking tilts the case in his favour over the alternatives. Each-way alternative: Hint of The Jungle. Main danger: Arnaz — Arnaz (SR:68, 4/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field, has steamed 36% in the market, carries a favourable 9-7, and Jack Mitchell's 16% strike rate on 1,872 rides makes him a serious booking — the MarkMv:+9 is the only real concern.
Full result
Winner: Silky Robin (IRE) at SP 7/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Silky Robin Fox #4 4/1
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2
Jimmy Knocker Fox #1 8/1
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3
Rory's Royale 10/3
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3
Henry Tudor 11/1
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5
Marianne Mozart 18/1
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6
Arnaz Fox #3 3/1
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7
Hopjes 25/1
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8
Hint of The Jungle Fox #2 15/2
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9
Walking On Clouds 20/1
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10
Pop Dancer 28/1
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Moostar -
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Macanudo 15/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Jimmy Knocker 13/2 🥈 2ND
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2
Hint of The Jungle 5/1 8TH
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3
Arnaz 4/1 6TH
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4
Silky Robin 6/1 SP 7/2 🏆 WON