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British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

14:17 Musselburgh Mon 12 Oct 2026 0m7f15y Class 3 Good to Soft 4 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Vegasmile silks

Vegasmile

HIGH Advised 1/2 SP 1/4F Est. 57%

🏆 WON

Mr Fox says

Vegasmile (SR 91, 1/2) is the class leader by SR in this four-runner novice, holds a course record of W1P1 at Musselburgh which is a significant advantage on a track where experience counts, and the market has firmed 7% to a dominant 1/2 — reflecting genuine confidence from Burke's yard (20% strike rate, 2203 runners). The form figure of '1' last time out (rightmost digit) is the key data point: a winner at the previous run, now stepping up one class but retaining clear SR superiority over the field. Blue Pete (SR 86) has drifted 12% and has a weaker form line of 7-3-2 with no win, while Dodgem (SR 127, 40/1) and Sneakin Pete (SR 128, 125/1) carry higher SRs but are priced and treated by the market as extreme outsiders with no realistic winning case. Each-way alternative: Blue Pete. Main danger: Blue Pete — Blue Pete (SR 86, 7/4) is 4lb lighter than Vegasmile at 9-4, has course-inexperienced rivals to exploit if Vegasmile underperforms stepping up in class, and Clifford Lee's 17% strike rate gives the partnership a genuine each-way chance if the favourite is below peak.

Verify· #22958

Full result

Winner: Vegasmile (IRE) at SP 1/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Vegasmile silks Vegasmile Fox #1 K. R. Burke · Sam James 2/5
  2. 2 Blue Pete silks Blue Pete Fox #2 Michael Appleby · Clifford Lee 2/1
  3. 3 Dodgem silks Dodgem Fox #3 Julie Camacho · Ryan Sexton 66/1
  4. 4 Sneakin Pete silks Sneakin Pete R. Mike Smith · Greg Fairley 200/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Vegasmile silks Vegasmile 1/2 SP 1/4F 🏆 WON
  2. 2 Blue Pete silks Blue Pete 7/4 🥈 2ND
  3. 3 Dodgem silks Dodgem 40/1 🥉 3RD