← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
British Stallion Stud EBF Fillies' Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Carnival of Light
SPECULATIVE Advised 13/2 Est. 16%
Mr Fox says
Carnival of Light (SR 95, 13/2, 9-7) is the highest-rated runner in the field and drops one class (ClassMv:↓1) off a form string that shows a recent win (Form:441100, rightmost = last run being a win). DistFit:+ confirms she is proven at seven furlongs, and her mark has eased 1lb since last winning (MarkMv:-1), placing her in a favourable position. The market has firmed 10% (Mkt:in10%), signalling money is coming for her. While GoingFit:? is a flag, the same uncertainty applies to several rivals, and her superior SR plus the combination of class drop, proven trip, and market support makes her the clearest pick. Each-way alternative: Aspiral. Main danger: Aspiral — Aspiral (SR 90, 17/2) has GoingFit:+ and DistFit:+ — the only runner proven on both today's going and trip — and has firmed 6% in the market, with K.R. Burke's 20% yard strike rate providing strong connections backing.
Full result
Winner: Ice Sovereigns (IRE) at SP 12/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Ice Sovereigns 16/1
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2
Carnival of Light Fox #1 9/2
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3
Dandy Magic 9/4
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4
Homestrait 4/1
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5
Samra Green Fox #3 9/2
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6
Aspiral Fox #2 9/1
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7
Brazilian Rose 9/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Carnival of Light 13/2 🥈 2ND
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2
Aspiral 17/2 6TH
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3
Samra Green 9/2 5TH