← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Racing TV Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Fairydale
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 22%
Mr Fox says
Fairydale (SR 65, 7/2, Wgt 8-12) carries the joint-lowest weight in the field alongside Falaise Blanc but posts the highest SR by a clear margin, giving her a meaningful lbs advantage over rivals who carry more. The market has firmed 11% since opening — genuine confidence from connections — and her recent 427351 form line shows a win last time out, indicating she arrives in peak condition. Tim Easterby (11% strike rate, 4,698 career runners) is a volume trainer who places horses carefully, and David Allan (13%, 2,210 runners) is the stronger jockey booking over the Ewan Whillans pair. The unknown distance and going (DistFit:?, GoingFit:?) are the main risks, but the weight, SR, and market signals all point the same way. Each-way alternative: Alpine Sierra. Main danger: Alpine Sierra — Alpine Sierra (SR 59, 5/1) has steamed in 17% — the joint-strongest market move in the race — carries just 10-0, drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), and has course form (W1P5 at Musselburgh) that Fairydale cannot match, making it the Goldie yard's clear number one and the horse most likely to derail the selection.
Full result
Winner: Storm On Jura (GB) at SP 5/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Storm On Jura 6/1
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2
Galahad Threepwood 11/1
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3
Ned Broy 4/1
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4
Falaise Blanc 33/1
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5
Simple Star Fox #3 15/2
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6
Alpine Sierra Fox #2 5/2
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7
Mr Withington 17/2
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8
Fairydale Fox #1 9/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Fairydale 7/2 8TH
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2
Alpine Sierra 5/1 6TH
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3
Simple Star 11/2 5TH