Follow @AtTheRaces On Instagram Nursery Handicap Stakes

18:00 Newcastle (AW) Mon 12 Oct 2026 6f Class 4 Good 7 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Starburster

MEDIUM Advised 13/8 Est. 37%

🏁 4TH

Mr Fox says

Starburster (SR 91, 13/8) is the SR leader in this six-runner nursery and carries only 9-6, giving it a 4lb advantage over Siouxperb despite the superior rating. The form string 41 — a placed run followed by a win — is compact but clean, and the market has firmed 8% since opening, reflecting genuine confidence from connections. Richard Spencer (15% strike rate) and Saffie Osborne (14%) are a capable pairing, and while DistFit:? and GoingFit:? signal inexperience at this trip and going, the absence of a proven negative (no '-' flags) is very different from a proven failure. Against this, Siouxperb's 31% steam is notable but its form string 10280 contains a '0' and an '8' in recent runs — concrete poor performances — while Starburster's only negatives are unknowns, not demonstrated flaws. Each-way alternative: Siouxperb. Main danger: Siouxperb — The 31% market steam is the strongest move in the field and Archie Watson's stable clearly fancies this drop two classes, meaning if the market knows something about today's conditions or the horse's wellbeing, it could outrun its patchy recent form.

Verify· #23067

Full result

Winner: Siouxperb (GB) at SP 11/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

1 Siouxperb Fox #2 Archie Watson · Connor Beasley 9/4
2 Minzelle K. R. Burke · Jason Hart 13/2
3 Blazing Inferno Edward Bethell · Daniel Tudhope 13/2
4 Starburster Fox #1 Richard Spencer · Saffie Osborne 5/2
5 Gladys Pugh Kevin Ryan · Kevin Stott 12/1
6 Innichen Fox #3 Jack Channon · Edward Greatrex 4/1
— Treasurer Charlie Fellowes · David Egan -

Top 4 — how each finished

1 Starburster 13/8 🏁 4TH
2 Siouxperb 9/2 SP 11/4F 🏆 WON
3 Innichen 4/1 6TH