← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Get Raceday Ready Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Atmosphere
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 24%
Mr Fox says
Atmosphere (SR:76, 7/2) holds the top Saturday Rating in the field by a clear margin and carries a relatively light 9-6, giving it a meaningful pounds edge over the few rivals with comparable ability. The market has steamed in aggressively — Mkt:in34% is the sharpest move in the field and tells a clear story. Trainer Richard Spencer operates at a solid 15% strike rate, and Saffie Osborne at 14% is a strong booking. DistFit:+ confirms it is genuinely effective at this trip, and while GoingFit:? shows an unproven record on Good specifically, AW Good at Newcastle is a consistent surface and the horse's form figures of 322530 show consistent competitiveness at this level with a ClassMv:= suggesting no class adjustment risk. Each-way alternative: Regalian. Main danger: Intrusively — Intrusively (SR:72) has been backed from a bigger price to 9/2 (Mkt:in15%) and carries a MarkMv:-34 suggesting significant handicapper leniency, which could compensate for its distance and going question marks.
Full result
Winner: Intrusively (GB) at SP 5/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Intrusively Fox #2 5/1
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2
Atmosphere Fox #1 4/1
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3
Abduction Fox #4 17/2
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4
Havana Rum 7/2
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5
Runninsonofagun 12/1
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6
Flowstate 11/1
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7
Not Me 33/1
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8
Black Storm 18/1
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9
Regalian Fox #3 17/2
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10
Criminal Shore 11/2
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11
Spartan Fighter 14/1
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12
Honved 200/1
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13
Belgrave 125/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Atmosphere 7/2 🥈 2ND
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2
Intrusively 9/2 SP 5/1 🏆 WON
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3
Regalian 13/2 9TH
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4
Abduction 9/1 🥉 3RD