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Mr Fox’s call
Mount Ruapehu
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/2 Est. 20%
Mr Fox says
Mount Ruapehu (SR:61, 9/2, 9-8) leads the field on Saturday Rating and carries a manageable weight. The 60% market steam is the most significant single signal in this race — this is sharp, informed money in a Class 6 sprint, not noise. He has a course win and place (Course:W1P1) at Newcastle AW, which matters on a track where course specialists consistently hold an edge, and his mark has dropped 6lb since last win (MarkMv:-6), giving him a handicapping advantage. His recent form (664888) looks moderate but the mark reduction and massive market move suggest connections expect improvement today. Each-way alternative: Macedonian. Main danger: Macedonian — Macedonian (SR:57, 9/1) has steamed 41% in the market — matching Woolridge's move but at a longer price — and a 15lb mark drop since last win (MarkMv:-15) gives it a significant handicap pull, which may be what the market is reacting to despite poor recent form figures.
Full result
Winner: Woolridge (GB) at SP 11/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Woolridge 11/2
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2
Macedonian Fox #2 11/1
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3
Edmond Halley 9/2
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4
Ziva's Star 25/1
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5
Stormy Pearl 20/1
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6
Reenie's Dream Fox #3 4/1
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7
Mount Ruapehu Fox #1 4/1
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8
Why Because 9/1
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9
Yaahobby 9/1
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10
Spear Fir 66/1
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11
Korroor 33/1
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12
Piperstown 17/2
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—
Phoenix Beach 10/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Mount Ruapehu 9/2 7TH
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2
Macedonian 9/1 🥈 2ND
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3
Reenie's Dream 4/1 6TH