← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
FBC Manby Bowdler Mares' Handicap Steeple Chase (Challenger Mares' Chase Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Mighty Fleur
MEDIUM Advised 11/8 SP 6/4F Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Mighty Fleur (SR:125, 11/8) is the standout on multiple aligned signals. Her recent form of 72-111 shows three consecutive wins — the rightmost three runs are all victories, indicating peak current form — and she is proven at the trip and on good ground (DistFit:+, GoingFit:+), the only runner to confirm both. The market has steamed 22% since opening, the Sean Bowen booking (24% career strike rate, 2400 runners) is the best jockey in the field, and Mickey Bowen's 16% strike rate is solid. She steps up 6lb on her last win mark (MarkMv:+6) which is the one note of caution, but at 11-8 the weight of evidence — triple winning run, proven conditions, strong market confidence — makes her the clear selection. Each-way alternative: Broomfield Aderra. Main danger: Broomfield Aderra — Broomfield Aderra (SR:123, 5/2) has steamed 13% in the market, carries the top-weight under Harry Skelton for Dan Skelton (22%/26% strike rates — the sharpest trainer-jockey combo in the field), and her DistFit:+ at 2m4f is confirmed, making her the likeliest to give Mighty Fleur a race if the 6lb rise in mark blunts the favourite's finishing kick.
Full result
Winner: Mighty Fleur (GB) at SP 6/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Mighty Fleur Fox #1 5/4
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2
Best Women 10/1
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3
Annie Express 12/1
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4
Sweet Caryline 17/2
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5
Broomfield Aderra Fox #2 11/4
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—
La Marquise Fox #3 12/1
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Realisation 22/1
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Princess Keri 14/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Mighty Fleur 11/8 SP 6/4F 🏆 WON
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2
Broomfield Aderra 5/2 5TH
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3
La Marquise 10/1