← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
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Mr Fox’s call
Astracornus
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Astracornus (SR 87, 9/4) is the top-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and drops two class tiers (ClassMv:↓2), giving it a meaningful edge over rivals running at the same or higher relative level. Tom Marquand (16% strike rate, 2575 career rides) is a superior booking to any jockey in this field and the 11% market move in confirms professional confidence. At 9-9 it is the lightest weight among the main contenders — a concrete pound advantage over the joint top-weights at 9-12. The GoingFit:? and DistFit:? are unknowns, but the same applies to most rivals, and the class drop plus market support more than compensate. Each-way alternative: Yokohama. Main danger: Newtown Duke — Newtown Duke (SR 83, 5/1) has a proven DistFit:+ at today's trip, drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), and its record of 41-334 shows consistent placed form, making it the most realistic threat to Astracornus on a staying test.
Full result
Winner: Calchas (GB) at SP 12/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Calchas 11/1
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2
Yokohama Fox #2 9/2
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3
Astracornus Fox #1 11/4
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4
Pure Moon 18/1
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5
Willow Wood 16/1
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6
Hamdania 16/1
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7
Pace Attack Fox #4 15/2
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8
Newtown Duke Fox #3 11/2
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9
Madjid 13/2
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10
Arthur's Realm 20/1
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11
Pershalla 28/1
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12
Lavender Gold 20/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Astracornus 9/4 🥉 3RD
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2
Yokohama 5/1 🥈 2ND
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3
Newtown Duke 5/1 8TH
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4
Pace Attack 8/1 7TH