← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Pro Shop At Caister Golf Club Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Darkest Red
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Darkest Red (SR:74, 11/4) is the clear class leader in this field — the highest SR by 8 points over Big Win and Much — and carries a light 9-5, a significant advantage over heavier rivals. The market has backed this view emphatically with a 33% inward move, and recent form of 224421 shows a horse in excellent nick, winning last time out just 14 days ago at the same class level (ClassMv:=). The MarkMv:+3 rise is minimal and unlikely to stop a horse coming here in peak form. Yarmouth course form (W0P2) adds familiarity, and at 11/4 the price is fair without being generous — the money is firmly on. Each-way alternative: Expressionless. Main danger: Big Win — Big Win (SR:66, 9/2) has been backed 6% into the market, carries only 9-11, and James Owen's 19% yard strike rate gives it solid each-way claims at a competitive price, with the cheekpieces (HG:p) potentially sharpening a horse that showed a '214' sequence before a 107-day break.
Full result
Winner: Sullom Voe (IRE) at SP 33/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Sullom Voe 40/1
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2
Big Win Fox #2 9/2
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3
Five Moons 40/1
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4
Atalanta Mist 17/2
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5
Darkest Red Fox #1 10/3
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6
Jack Langley 5/1
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7
Trapper John 9/1
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8
Fletcher 40/1
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9
Feelin' Free 16/1
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10
Much Fox #4 9/2
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11
Betelgeuse 33/1
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—
Dust Cover 11/1
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—
Expressionless Fox #3 7/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Darkest Red 11/4 5TH
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2
Big Win 9/2 🥈 2ND
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3
Expressionless 17/2
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4
Much 11/2 10TH