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Roscommon Racecourse On Facebook Handicap (Div I)
Mr Fox’s call
Goldrush Kid
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 21%
Mr Fox says
Goldrush Kid (SR:64, 4/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and carries 10-1, giving it a weight edge over co-market leader Monocle Rocket (SR:63, 4/1) who is on just 9-4 but shows GoingFit:- and DistFit:- — no proven platform for today's soft ground over this trip. The decisive signal here is the market: Goldrush Kid has been backed in 33% since opening, a strong steamer in a 15-runner Class 6 handicap where insider confidence matters. McGuinness has Sam Coen (5) in the saddle over the stable's preferred runner (Stable:1), the yard's #1 ride confirmed by the jockey upgrade over The Bear Trap's Adam Caffrey. DistFit:- and GoingFit:- are genuine concerns, but the SR lead, the weight advantage over the field, and the dramatic market move outweigh those flags at this level where the bar is low. Each-way alternative: Monocle Rocket. Main danger: Monocle Rocket — Monocle Rocket (SR:63, 4/1) is co-favourite, has been backed in 21%, carries a favourable 9-4, and has Ben Coen aboard — a jockey with a 11% strike rate over 1,887 rides — though its GoingFit:- on soft ground is the key reason it falls behind the selection.
Full result
Winner: Zarenakarena (IRE) at SP 16/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Zarenakarena 11/1
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2
Dark Willow 28/1
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3
Kayamite 50/1
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4
Buttermere Ridge 13/2
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5
Master Garvey 9/1
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6
Ella's Gold 11/2
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7
Sunday Sovereign 14/1
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8
Monocle Rocket Fox #2 7/2
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9
The Bear Trap 14/1
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10
Alex Belardo Fox #3 6/1
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11
Watercraft 33/1
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12
Blue Orquidea 28/1
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13
Goldrush Kid Fox #1 4/1
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14
Tamazu 33/1
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Little Wing -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Goldrush Kid 4/1 13TH
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2
Monocle Rocket 4/1 8TH
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3
Alex Belardo 6/1 10TH