← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Betting.Bet Play Champion Tipster Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle Race
Mr Fox’s call
Carrhill
MEDIUM Advised 2/1 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Carrhill (SR:96, 2/1) is the standout performer in this field by a significant margin — 23 SR points clear of the next-best Athena's Dream at SR:77, which in a Class 5 novice limited handicap hurdle represents a substantial ability gap. The form string 6821-1 reads right-to-left as a last-run win, with a season break before that showing a consistent improving profile. Trainer Robbie Llewellyn strikes at 20% from only 99 runners — a notably efficient yard — and the market has firmed 9% since opening, suggesting connections are confident. At 11-8 Carrhill carries a workable weight and the 2/1 price, after the standard overround adjustment, implies roughly 30% — a fair reflection of what this data supports. Each-way alternative: Elusive Knight. Main danger: Athena's Dream — Athena's Dream (SR:77, 11/2) is the second-highest rated runner and stays at the same class (ClassMv:=), and while she has drifted sharply 32% — a concern — her form includes multiple placed efforts and at 4 years of age she has more upside than most rivals if the visor headgear sparks improvement.
Full result
Winner: I Love You Sivola (FR) at SP 11/4. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
I Love You Sivola 2/1
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2
Carrhill Fox #1 15/8
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3
Athena's Dream Fox #2 5/1
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4
At Sunrise 14/1
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5
Porridge 33/1
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Canteeny Benny 33/1
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Elusive Knight Fox #3 12/1
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Dino Moon 9/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Carrhill 2/1 🥈 2ND
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2
Athena's Dream 11/2 🥉 3RD
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3
Elusive Knight 9/1