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Hereford Halloween Family Raceday 26th October Open Maiden National Hunt Flat Race (Category 3 Elimination) (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Lucy Glitters
MEDIUM Advised 10/11 Est. 47%
Mr Fox says
Lucy Glitters (SR 158, 10/11) carries the highest SR in the field by a clear margin and has the lightest weight at 10-8, a 7lb advantage over the two 11-1 carriers. Stepping down a class (ClassMv:↓1) from a form line of 2-3 — competitive placed efforts — she arrives in good order despite 81 days off. Tom George (18% strike rate, 121 runners) is a well-regarded handler for bumper debutants and progressive types, and Jonathan Burke (15%, 746 runners) is an experienced pilot. The market has held firm at 10/11 favourite, reinforcing what the SR already signals: this is the classiest horse in a four-runner field. Each-way alternative: Unflappable. Main danger: Unflappable — Unflappable (SR 157, 9/4) is only 1 point behind Lucy Glitters on the SR scale, shares the same light weight of 10-8 and also drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), giving her every chance to turn consecutive third-place finishes into a win if the favourite underperforms after 81 days off the track.
Full result
Winner: Bombus Pascuorum (IRE) at SP 5/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Bombus Pascuorum Fox #3 11/2
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2
Unflappable Fox #2 13/8
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3
Indiza 8/1
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Lucy Glitters Fox #1 5/4
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3