← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
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Mr Fox’s call
Fenlander
SPECULATIVE Advised 8/1 Est. 11%
Mr Fox says
Fenlander (SR:70, 8/1) has steamed in 36% since opening — the strongest market move in the entire field — and combines it with Course:W2P3 at Leicester, the best course record here by some margin. A MarkMv:-2 means the handicapper has given him a small concession since his last win, and his most recent form string (135603) shows he ran third just seven days ago, confirming fitness. Trainer Olly Williams runs a small yard (4% SR is modest) but the money is emphatic, and course specialists on a 6f Leicester straight are a well-established pattern; the price at 8/1 implies only ~12% but the course form and market steam justify nudging that higher. Each-way alternative: Dashing Dick. Main danger: Irish Nectar — Irish Nectar (SR:77, 3/1) is the highest-rated runner in the field and has steamed in 32%, but GoingFit:- and DistFit:- are real concerns on this Good to Soft 6f; if those flags are overstated and the form figures of 049434 mask a return to winning, the SR advantage alone could be enough to overpower the field.
Full result
Winner: Irish Nectar (GB) at SP 9/2J. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Irish Nectar Fox #2 4/1
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2
Dashing Dick Fox #4 11/2
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3
Fenlander Fox #1 7/1
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4
Rascal Recknell 22/1
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5
Spirit of Jenny 11/1
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6
Tiriac 12/1
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7
Bay Breeze 14/1
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8
That's Random Fox #3 7/2
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9
Sargent Dennis 20/1
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10
Lamlash Bay 28/1
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11
Cairdeas 10/1
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12
Try Storm Cat 66/1
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13
Spacewoman 20/1
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14
HK Fourteen 20/1
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15
Milford Grange 14/1
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16
Moonlight Melody 66/1
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17
Trust Amy 33/1
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18
Ziggy's Condor 33/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Fenlander 8/1 🥉 3RD
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2
Irish Nectar 3/1 SP 9/2J 🏆 WON
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3
That's Random 5/1 8TH
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4
Dashing Dick 7/1 🥈 2ND