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Christmas Parties At Leicester Racecourse Book Now Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Francesi
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/2 Est. 18%
Mr Fox says
Francesi (SR:71, 11/2) has steamed in 27% since opening, the strongest market move of any contender bar Up The Jazz, and drops a class (ClassMv:↓1) off a mark 3lb below his last win (MarkMv:-3) — two structural advantages in a Class 5 handicap. Jockey Myla Coppins posts an 18% strike rate, matching Cieren Fallon's figure, and Tony Carroll's 13% yard rate is solid across a large sample of 3,251 runners. The distance fit is moderate (DistFit:~) but so is it for most of the field, and at 9-5 he carries a light weight that offsets any ground uncertainty (GoingFit:?). The combination of market confidence, class drop and favourable mark distinguishes him from a muddling field. Each-way alternative: Up The Jazz. Main danger: Up The Jazz — Up The Jazz (SR:68, 9/1) has backed in 46% — the most dramatic market move in the field — drops three classes (ClassMv:↓3) and holds course form (Course:W0P1), making it a legitimate threat to go very close at a big price.
Full result
Winner: Dream Pirate (GB) at SP 40/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Dream Pirate 20/1
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2
Donna Nook 12/1
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3
Francesi Fox #1 7/1
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4
Up The Jazz Fox #2 17/2
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5
Oviedo Fox #4 2/1
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6
Hostility 9/2
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7
Cypriot Diaspora 14/1
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8
Law of Design Fox #3 7/2
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9
Harry The Rogue 33/1
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—
Carolus Magnus 12/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Francesi 11/2 🥉 3RD
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2
Up The Jazz 9/1 🏁 4TH
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3
Law of Design 4/1 8TH
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4
Oviedo 9/4 5TH