← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox

Heb Group "the Power Behind Everyday" Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)

14:35 Southwell Tue 13 Oct 2026 1m7f182y Class 4 Good 6 runners

View the racecard →

Mr Fox’s call

Lady Kara silks

Lady Kara

SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 28%

Mr Fox says

Lady Kara (SR:117, 7/2) matches Jamada on SR but carries 11-1 versus Jamada's 11-4, a 3lb weight advantage that matters on good ground over this trip. She is proven at the distance and on this going (DistFit:+, GoingFit:+), runs off the same mark as her last win (MarkMv:=), and the market has steamed in 35% — strong public confidence for a horse who ran just 6 days ago in good order. The tongue-tie (HG:t) signals connections are pressing for a performance, and trainer Dr Richard Newland (19% strike rate, 177 runners) is a reliable small-yard handler. Running same class (ClassMv:=) removes any question of a step up in company. Jamada is the more obvious yard pick from the Olly Murphy yard but Lady Kara's combination of weight, going proof, and market move gives her a specific edge on all the key signals today. Each-way alternative: Jamada. Main danger: Jamada — Jamada (SR:117, 4/1) is the Olly Murphy yard's flagged #1 runner, ridden by Sean Bowen (24% career strike rate), is proven at the trip and on the going (DistFit:+, GoingFit:+), and has been steadily backed in 7% — all the hallmarks of a yard operating with intent.

Verify· #23161

Full result

Winner: Four Springs (IRE) at SP 11/8F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Four Springs silks Four Springs Fox #3 Ben Pauling · Kielan Woods 13/8
  2. 2 Cheesy Icon silks Cheesy Icon Mel Rowley · Charlie Deutsch 13/2
  3. 3 Ask A Sainte silks Ask A Sainte Olly Murphy · Mr T Walsh(7) 15/2
  4. — Marche d'Aligre silks Marche d'Aligre Jamie Snowden · Gavin Sheehan 5/1
  5. — Jamada silks Jamada Fox #2 Olly Murphy · Sean Bowen 5/2
  6. — Lady Kara silks Lady Kara Fox #1 Dr Richard Newland · Luke Scott(3) 4/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Lady Kara silks Lady Kara 7/2
  2. 2 Jamada silks Jamada 4/1
  3. 3 Four Springs silks Four Springs 15/8 SP 11/8F 🏆 WON