← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Case Ih Drive Performance Drive Puma Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Dream Diamond
MEDIUM Advised 11/8 Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Dream Diamond (SR:119, 11/8) is the most compelling case in this small field. The market has steamed in 39% — by far the strongest move in the race — and Sean Bowen (24% strike rate, 2,402 career rides) is a booking that commands respect. Crucially, MarkMv:-12 means the horse is running off a mark 12lb below its last win, an enormous concession from the handicapper that gives it a huge edge over rivals running off marks at or above their last winning mark. GoingFit:+ confirms suitability to today's good ground, and at 11-7 it carries the lightest weight in the field, compounding the handicap advantage. Each-way alternative: Jet Smart. Main danger: Jet Smart — Jet Smart (SR:119, 4/1) has steamed in 24%, carries DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+, and its form string '1-2223' shows consistent placing — if Dream Diamond underperforms on its first run back at this trip (DistFit:~), Jet Smart's proven course credentials make it the most likely beneficiary.
Full result
Winner: Palamon (IRE) at SP 11/4. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Palamon 5/1
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2
Jet Smart Fox #2 4/1
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3
Thelasthighking Fox #3 15/8
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Move With The Beat -
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Dream Diamond Fox #1 7/4
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Martin's Denuo -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Dream Diamond 11/8
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2
Jet Smart 4/1 🥈 2ND
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3
Thelasthighking 10/3 🥉 3RD