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Stay At The Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Zachary Hickes
MEDIUM Advised 6/5 SP 10/11F Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Zachary Hickes (SR:87, 6/5) is the standout ability-wise in this field, holding a clear SR edge over nearest rival Scarlet Moon (SR:82) and carrying a workable 9-8. Roger Varian (20% strike rate, 1443 runners) is a high-calibre trainer for an AW handicap at this level, and the market has firmed 8% — modest but in the right direction. The form string /64123 shows a progressive horse whose last three runs are 1-2-3 in reverse chronological order, meaning a win last time out and a sequence of improving placed efforts before that. DistFit:? and GoingFit:? are noted concerns — no established record at trip or going — but at 4 years old on a well-bet, well-trained horse, those unknowns are priced in at 6/5 and the SR advantage is substantial enough to absorb them. Each-way alternative: Percy Jones. Main danger: Scarlet Moon — Scarlet Moon (SR:82, 9/4) has steamed in 28% in the market with Oisin Murphy booked, holds proven GoingFit:+ on today's surface, and Course:W1P1 at Wolverhampton gives it a track record that Zachary Hickes currently lacks.
Full result
Winner: Zachary Hickes (GB) at SP 10/11F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Zachary Hickes Fox #1 8/11
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2
Son of Man 11/1
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3
Charging Thunder 22/1
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4
Ottoman 40/1
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5
Inappropriate 18/1
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6
Percy Jones Fox #3 8/1
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7
Scarlet Moon Fox #2 3/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Zachary Hickes 6/5 SP 10/11F 🏆 WON
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2
Scarlet Moon 9/4 7TH
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3
Percy Jones 13/2 6TH