← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Meritocratic
SPECULATIVE Advised 6/1 Est. 16%
Mr Fox says
Meritocratic (SR:62, 6/1) carries only 9-3 — the joint-lightest competitive weight in the field — and has been backed in dramatically from its opening price (Mkt:in53%), the strongest market move in the race by a wide margin. James Owen's yard runs at 19% (the best trainer strike rate in the field) and Clifford Lee at 17%, a strong connections combination. The drop in class (ClassMv:↓1) into a Class 6 event is a positive, and at 9-3 off an SR of 62 it has a meaningful weight advantage over Coxy's Star (SR:66, 9-7) and Snaafy (SR:64, 9-7). The GoingFit:- is a concern on this Good surface but the money flooding in strongly suggests connections are satisfied conditions suit today. Each-way alternative: Snaafy. Main danger: Coxy's Star — Coxy's Star (SR:66, 11/4) is the highest-rated horse in the field, carries only 9-7, has been backed in 9% and Billy Loughnane (18% strike rate) is a strong booking — if it can overcome the GoingFit:- concern it is the most likely winner.
Full result
Winner: Coxy's Star (GB) at SP 2/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Coxy's Star Fox #2 9/4
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2
Palliser 6/1
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3
Meritocratic Fox #1 7/2
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4
Sailor Batt Fox #4 7/2
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5
Gifts Differing 18/1
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6
Zooter 16/1
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7
Thestral 25/1
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8
Exquisite Skye 50/1
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9
Myrrh 15/2
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10
Florizelle 25/1
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Snaafy Fox #3 4/1
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Carwyn -
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Aurelune 6/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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4