← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
William Hill Challenge Series Hurdle
Mr Fox’s call
Buddy One
MEDIUM Advised 15/8 Est. 36%
Mr Fox says
Buddy One (SR 137, 15/8) is the most credible winner in a thin five-runner field. Despite a GoingFit:- flag, the MarkMv:-8 indicates the handicapper has given him an 8lb concession since his last win, meaningfully improving his chance off the same 11-0 weight as rivals. His trainer Paul John Gilligan runs a tight operation and the booking of Danny Gilligan (11% strike rate, 975 runners) signals yard confidence. The form string P40-83 shows inconsistency, but the 3 most recent form figures end in an 8 (placed) suggesting he's returning to form, and at 15/8 the market is backing his ability to go well fresh (36 days since last run) in a race where his SR 137 leads the competitive horses. Each-way alternative: Samui. Main danger: Samui — Samui (SR 131, 2/1) is trained by Gordon Elliott (18% strike rate) with Jack Kennedy aboard (23% strike rate) — elite connections that overcome the slight drift (Mkt:out7%), and GoingFit:+ confirms he handles today's ground.
Full result
Winner: Samui (GB) at SP 6/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Samui Fox #2 7/4
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2
Intense Approach 12/1
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3
Buddy One Fox #1 9/4
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4
Sandor Clegane Fox #3 11/2
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5
Senecia 4/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Buddy One 15/8 🥉 3RD
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2
Samui 2/1 SP 6/4F 🏆 WON
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3
Sandor Clegane 9/2 🏁 4TH