← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Enigma Flooring Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Yes Day
SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 Est. 27%
Mr Fox says
Yes Day (SR:103, 10/3) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and arrives on the back of a recent win (form: -23241, rightmost = win, 22 days ago), confirming peak fitness. GoingFit:+ confirms he handles good to soft, and at 12-2 he carries the same weight as Jaccours but with a 10-point SR advantage. The massive drift (Mkt:out57%) is a concern and must be acknowledged — blinkers applied for the first time (HG:b) may explain handler nervousness — but the DistFit:- flag is the key negative the market is pricing; however, at 3m3f208y there is little distance form for most runners here and his superior class and recent winning form outweigh the rest of the field's credentials. No other runner combines his SR, winning form currency, and going suitability. Each-way alternative: Jaccours. Main danger: Gingerbred — Gingerbred (SR:75, evens) is the market leader backed heavily (Mkt:in43%) with course form (W1P1), a -10 mark drop since last win, and a low weight of 10-8 — if the market knows something the rating doesn't reflect, the stable confidence here is the biggest single threat to Yes Day.
Full result
Winner: Gingerbred (GB) at SP 10/11F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Gingerbred Fox #3 10/11
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2
Jaccours Fox #2 9/2
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3
Yes Day Fox #1 4/1
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4
Yes And Yes 10/1
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5
Karuma Grey 16/1
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—
Puddlesinthepark Fox #4 11/1
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—
Est Illic 50/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Yes Day 10/3 🥉 3RD
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2
Jaccours 11/2 🥈 2ND
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3
Gingerbred evn SP 10/11F 🏆 WON
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4
Puddlesinthepark 11/1