← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Nursery Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Noble Prince
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Noble Prince (SR 90, 9/4) carries the top SR in the field by 4 points over Arctic Tsar, runs off the same mark as his last win (ClassMv:=), and is proven at the mile trip (DistFit:+). The Charlie Appleby yard fires at a 33% career strike rate — comfortably the best training operation in this field — and Billy Loughnane at 18% is a solid booking. Crucially, the market has tightened 8% (Mkt:in8%), giving genuine confidence signal, while the race favourite Arctic Tsar has drifted 8% (Mkt:out8%) and steps up a class carrying a mark 12lb higher than his last win. Noble Prince's form string of 4223 shows consistent placed form and a progressive profile typical of an Appleby two-year-old finding its level. Each-way alternative: Rupert The Brave. Main danger: Arctic Tsar — Arctic Tsar (SR 86, 2/1) holds course form (W1P1), won last time out, and despite the drift and the class rise plus a 12lb mark rise, his Clive Cox/Rossa Ryan combination at a winning track is a combination that regularly defies market moves at this level.
Full result
Winner: Arctic Tsar (IRE) at SP 2/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Arctic Tsar Fox #2 5/2
-
2
Rupert The Brave Fox #3 4/1
-
3
Noble Prince Fox #1 5/4
-
4
My A'Ali Baba 25/1
-
5
Lady Caroline Lamb 12/1
-
6
Algaihabane 9/1
-
7
Magical Life 66/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
-
2
-
3