← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Trustintimes
SPECULATIVE Advised 12/1 Est. 9%
Mr Fox says
Trustintimes (SR:140, 12/1) carries the highest Saturday Rating in the field by a clear margin over Ensor Mews (SR:148 is actually higher — see below) and has been backed aggressively from the open, steaming in 26% to 12/1, which is the strongest market move in the race. While a debutant with no form shown, the Harry Fry yard runs at 18% and the 26% market support is a meaningful signal that connections expect a performance. Lone Warrior (SR:89, 7/4) is the market favourite but carries a SR some 51 points below Trustintimes and has a confirmed poor record at today's trip (DistFit:-), making it a difficult favourite to side with despite the in-market move. Ensor Mews (SR:148, 5/1) is the highest-rated runner but has drifted a punishing 41% since opening, a red flag that cannot be ignored even with top SR. Each-way alternative: Ensor Mews. Main danger: Adamlyi — Adamlyi (SR:85, 9/4) is trained by William Haggas (23% strike rate, the best in the race) with Tom Marquand booked, and while it has drifted 8%, the yard's class alone means it cannot be fully dismissed in a weak maiden.
Full result
Winner: Adamlyi (GB) at SP 5/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Adamlyi Fox #4 11/4
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2
Nascondino 50/1
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3
Lone Warrior 13/8
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4
Trustintimes Fox #1 12/1
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5
Medaali Fox #3 11/2
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6
Ovage 125/1
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7
Mile End Road 28/1
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8
Emerald Spirit 100/1
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9
Ensor Mews Fox #2 4/1
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10
Intsaar 22/1
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11
Journalism 25/1
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12
Eagles Instinct 80/1
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13
Certainty 125/1
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14
Eagleonthebalcony 66/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Trustintimes 12/1 🏁 4TH
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2
Ensor Mews 5/1 9TH
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3
Medaali 5/1 5TH
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4
Adamlyi 9/4 SP 5/2 🏆 WON