← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Matchbook Betting Exchange Mares Handicap Hurdle
Mr Fox’s call
Astelia
SPECULATIVE Advised 3/1 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Astelia (SR:113, 3/1, 10-12) is the standout on ground and distance fitness: GoingFit:+ and DistFit:+ confirm she handles good ground at this trip, while her form string 222P21 shows a recent win followed by a placed effort just 10 days ago — peak form. She carries the lightest weight in the field at 10-12, a meaningful 4lb pull on the favourite The Dotski and 6lb on Fraher Field. The market has backed her in 7% from opening, the only steamer in this race, confirming stable confidence despite a quick turnaround. MarkMv:+4 is a modest rise and Peter Fahey's 11% strike rate with Sam Ewing's 12% booking is a solid connections pairing. Each-way alternative: Fraher Field. Main danger: The Dotski — The Dotski (SR:113, 11/8) is the top-rated runner on SR alongside Astelia, trained by the high-volume Henry de Bromhead (16% strike rate, 2377 runners) with a recent winning form line of 54-1, and at 5 years of age represents the most progressive animal in the field.
Full result
Winner: The Dotski (IRE) at SP 1/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
The Dotski Fox #2 6/4
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2
Astelia Fox #1 5/2
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3
Fraher Field Fox #3 7/2
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4
Cleopatra's Needle 5/1
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5
Amanha 33/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3