← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Matchbook Betting Exchange Steeplechase (Grade 3)
Mr Fox’s call
Gorgeous Tom
MEDIUM Advised 4/6 SP 4/6F Est. 52%
Mr Fox says
Gorgeous Tom (SR:149, 4/6) is the class leader in this small field and has proven course form (W1P1 at Punchestown) with confirmed going suitability (GoingFit:+). The MarkMv:+24 is a concern but in a Grade 3 chase of only four runners with equal weights, a higher mark is largely academic — what matters is outright ability, and at SR:149 he leads the field by 4 points over Croke Park (SR:145). The 8% market drift is the strongest concrete negative on his line, but with a 4/6 favourite in a four-runner race, that drift alone is insufficient cause to oppose him when Croke Park's runner line carries its own red flags. Gorgeous Tom's form reads 2450-3, the last run being a third which is a positive return to action, and GoingFit:+ confirms he handles today's conditions. Each-way alternative: Croke Park. Main danger: Croke Park — Gordon Elliott (18% strike rate) and Jack Kennedy (23% strike rate) is a high-quality combination, and ClassMv:= means no rise in class from last time, but the 187-day absence and a form string of 33300- mean Croke Park needs to bounce back sharply to beat Gorgeous Tom.
Full result
Winner: Gorgeous Tom (IRE) at SP 4/6F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Gorgeous Tom Fox #1 1/2
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2
Croke Park Fox #2 4/1
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3
Apple's Of Bresil Fox #3 4/1
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—
Smallcraftwarning 66/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Gorgeous Tom 4/6 SP 4/6F 🏆 WON
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2
Croke Park 11/4 🥈 2ND
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3
Apple's Of Bresil 4/1 🥉 3RD