← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox

Matchbook €50,000 Graduation Series Flat Race

17:40 Punchestown Wed 14 Oct 2026 2m0f95y Good 11 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Frisco Lad silks

Frisco Lad

MEDIUM Advised 15/8 Est. 35%

5TH

Mr Fox says

Frisco Lad (SR:121, 15/8) is the standout on every meaningful metric in this field. His SR of 121 leads the field by 14 points over Sharbel (SR:107) and is well clear of the rest, and he carries 11-10 — the same as Hill Silver but with a substantial ability edge over that rival. His sole run produced a win, and the market has firmed 9% since opening, confirming professional confidence. In an amateur/bumper-style flat race at Punchestown over 2m, Henry de Bromhead (16% strike rate, 2,377 runners) is a powerful operation and Mr J L Gleeson rides at a 19% career strike rate — a strong booking. No distance or going fit data exists for any runner here given all are lightly raced, but Frisco Lad's superiority in SR and the market move give him a clear edge over an otherwise weak field. Each-way alternative: Sharbel. Main danger: Sharbel — Sharbel (SR:107, 4/1) has shortened 8% in the market, is ridden by Mr P W Mullins whose 33% career strike rate is exceptional for an amateur, and trainer Peter Fahey (11% strike rate) is a competent handler — the combination of jockey quality and market support makes him the most credible threat to the favourite.

Verify· #23403

Full result

Winner: Manu Reva (FR) at SP 28/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Manu Reva silks Manu Reva Liz Doyle · Mr B T Stone(7) 25/1
  2. 2 Sharbel silks Sharbel Fox #2 Peter Fahey · Mr P W Mullins 9/4
  3. 3 Hill Silver silks Hill Silver Ciaran Murphy · Mr D McGill(7) 10/1
  4. 4 Hutton Star silks Hutton Star David Harry Kelly · Mr P A King(3) 11/1
  5. 5 Frisco Lad silks Frisco Lad Fox #1 Henry de Bromhead · Mr J L Gleeson 5/2
  6. 6 Veales Cross silks Veales Cross John Queally · Mr Derek O'Connor 16/1
  7. 7 Hilly Filly silks Hilly Filly Fox #3 Ross O'Sullivan · Mr L P Shanahan(7) 7/1
  8. 8 El Bilo silks El Bilo Paul Nolan · Mr S Cotter(7) 40/1
  9. 9 Whispered Verdict silks Whispered Verdict Gavin Cromwell · Mr D G Lavery 10/1
  10. 10 Time Takes Time silks Time Takes Time D Buckley · Mr H C Swan 66/1
  11. 11 Soleil D'aure silks Soleil D'aure Jack Doyle · Mr A P Ryan(3) 8/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Frisco Lad silks Frisco Lad 15/8 5TH
  2. 2 Sharbel silks Sharbel 4/1 🥈 2ND
  3. 3 Hilly Filly silks Hilly Filly 5/1 7TH