← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Position Payout At bet365 Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Blue Collar Lad
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/2 Est. 19%
Mr Fox says
Blue Collar Lad (SR:57, 9/2, Wgt:8-11) is the standout play. The 25% market support (Mkt:in25%) is the single strongest market signal in the race — in a field of 14 drifters, this is conspicuous money arriving with purpose. Carrying 8-11 gives him a meaningful weight edge over the two joint-favourites Berning Hot (9-7) and Nutcracker (9-5), and he is the lightest of the competitive SR horses. DistFit:~ and GoingFit:~ confirm he is not ill-suited to this trip or ground, and Course:W0P4 shows familiarity with Brighton's idiosyncratic track. The MarkMv:+2 is a minor negative but easily absorbed given the weight advantage over market rivals. Each-way alternative: Berning Hot. Main danger: Berning Hot — Berning Hot (SR:63, Course:W2P2) has the joint-highest SR in the field and a proven winning record at Brighton specifically, making him the most dangerous horse to the selection despite carrying 9-7 and running off a mark 5lb higher than his last win.
Full result
Winner: Rainbow Sign (GB) at SP 9/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Rainbow Sign 8/1
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2
Blue Collar Lad Fox #1 9/2
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3
Who Is Alice 16/1
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4
The Organiser 16/1
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5
Rock Master 25/1
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6
Dakota Power 12/1
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7
Nutcracker Fox #3 13/2
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8
Noble Guest Fox #4 9/2
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9
Mokata 40/1
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10
Music And Song 40/1
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11
Sun of Dolly 8/1
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12
Balon d'Or 18/1
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13
Berning Hot Fox #2 4/1
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King David -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Blue Collar Lad 9/2 🥈 2ND
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2
Berning Hot 9/2 13TH
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3
Nutcracker 9/2 7TH
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4
Noble Guest 7/1 8TH