← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
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Mr Fox’s call
Kabral du Mathan
MEDIUM Advised 2/7 SP 2/9F Est. 72%
Mr Fox says
Kabral du Mathan (SR:159, 2/7) is in a different class to this field — the nearest rival is Hold The Serve at SR:131, a 28-point gap that is enormous at this level. He drops two classes (ClassMv:↓2), is proven at the trip and on this going (DistFit:+, GoingFit:+), and is trained by Dan Skelton with Harry Skelton in the saddle, a combination running at 22-27% career strike rates across thousands of runners. The mark rise of only +2 is trivial, and while the 217-day absence is noted, this is a beginners' chase where connections are clearly targeting a straightforward return. The 2/7 price fairly reflects a horse that should dominate on ability alone. Each-way alternative: Hold The Serve. Main danger: Hold The Serve — Hold The Serve (SR:131, 9/2) has Sean Bowen aboard (24% strike rate), goes on the ground (GoingFit:+), and drops two classes — if Kabral du Mathan is below peak fitness after 217 days off, Hold The Serve is the obvious beneficiary.
Full result
Winner: Kabral Du Mathan (FR) at SP 2/9F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Kabral du Mathan Fox #1 1/5
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2
Hold The Serve Fox #2 6/1
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3
Dream Shadow Fox #3 14/1
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Jabbar 40/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3