← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Yordan
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 SP 7/4F Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Yordan (SR 97, 11/4) has been backed aggressively — Mkt:in36%, the strongest steamer in the field — and drops two classes (ClassMv:↓2) with a Course:W1P1 record at Southwell. His form reads 2-1-1-0, with the '0' being his latest run that needs context, but the two wins before it at this level give confidence he can find form again under easier conditions. At 9-10 he is fairly weighted relative to Return of The Gods (same weight, SR 101) who is running off a mark 6lb higher than his last win (MarkMv:+6) and whose 3-star rating reflects less certainty. The 36% market move into Yordan is the single loudest signal in the race and, combined with the class drop and course familiarity, justifies siding with him. Each-way alternative: Town Queen. Main danger: Return of The Gods — Return of The Gods (SR 101, 10/3) is the highest-rated horse in the field with proven distance and going fitness (DistFit:+, GoingFit:+) and Daniel Tudhope's 18% strike rate gives him every chance of capitalising if Yordan fails to recapture his earlier form.
Full result
Winner: Yordan (IRE) at SP 7/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Yordan Fox #1 2/1
-
2
Return of The Gods Fox #2 7/2
-
3
New Image Fox #4 4/1
-
4
Wicket Keeper 16/1
-
5
Town Queen Fox #3 11/2
-
6
Hunky Dory 25/1
-
7
Zighy 14/1
-
8
Ruby's Profit 28/1
-
9
The Untamed 16/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
-
2
-
3
-
4