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Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Norflondonforever
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 SP 1/1F Est. 34%
Mr Fox says
Norflondonforever (SR:69, 9/4) is the top-rated horse in this Class 6 field and carries only 9-4 — the lightest weight among the serious contenders — giving it a meaningful lbs advantage over rivals carrying 9-8 or 9-9. The market has backed it in significantly (Mkt:in24%), the strongest steam in the race, and trainer Faye Bramley runs at a 15% strike rate from a relatively small yard (249 runners), suggesting she targets races selectively. The GoingFit:- and DistFit:- flags are genuine concerns, but on an AW surface at Southwell the 'going' tag is less punishing than turf, and the recent form 004742 shows a second last time out — the horse is clearly coming back to form. The SR:69 lead over the drifting favourite Super Hit (SR:67) is modest but every other signal points Norflondonforever's way. Each-way alternative: Chesneys Charm. Main danger: Super Hit — Super Hit (SR:67, 3/1) is proven at this distance (DistFit:+) and has course form (W0P2), giving it a track-and-trip profile that Norflondonforever cannot match, and despite drifting 11% the price implies it remains the market's second choice.
Full result
Winner: Norflondonforever (IRE) at SP 1/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Norflondonforever Fox #1 11/8
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2
Jodhpur Blue 8/1
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3
Super Hit Fox #2 10/3
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4
Newport 15/2
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5
Chesneys Charm Fox #3 11/2
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6
Public Enemy 10/1
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7
Rajawail 125/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Norflondonforever 9/4 SP 1/1F 🏆 WON
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2
Super Hit 3/1 🥉 3RD
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3
Chesneys Charm 4/1 5TH