← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
DNG Nationwide Handicap
Mr Fox’s call
Dark Ace
SPECULATIVE Advised 6/1 Est. 15%
Mr Fox says
Dark Ace (SR:89, 6/1, 9-5) holds the joint-highest SR in the field alongside Moltophino, but carries 9-5 versus Moltophino's 9-4 — near weight parity — while Dark Ace has DistFit:~ and GoingFit:~ against Moltophino's double negative (DistFit:- GoingFit:- on today's Good going over 6f). Dark Ace has shortened 8% in the market (Mkt:in8%), runs off a mark 6lb below his last win (MarkMv:-6), and connections have identified him as the yard's #1 (Stable:1 with the stronger jockey booking over stablemate Go Athletico). The Curragh form line (W0P1) is modest but his recent 300160 sequence shows a last-run win and the mark drop is a tangible edge in a competitive 6f handicap. Each-way alternative: Nouvel Espoir. Main danger: Chicago Pope — Chicago Pope (SR:88, 8/1) has the second-highest SR in the field, is trained by J.P. Murtagh with Colin Keane-level jockey Ben Coen aboard, has shortened 8% in the market, and his form line 1-2140 includes a win and a runner-up at a higher level — the mark is only 1lb above his last win, making him dangerously well-handicapped if he reproduces that form.
Full result
Winner: Unique Journey (IRE) at SP 15/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Unique Journey 10/1
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2
Smoke Them Out 14/1
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3
Moltophino Fox #4 9/2
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4
Amiata 17/2
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5
Nouvel Espoir Fox #3 7/1
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6
Keke 9/1
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7
Dmaniac 16/1
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7
Dark Ace Fox #1 9/2
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9
Go Athletico 9/1
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10
The Highway Rat 18/1
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11
Staysound Susie 16/1
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12
Chicago Pope Fox #2 8/1
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13
Unauthorized 20/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Dark Ace 6/1 7TH
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2
Chicago Pope 8/1 12TH
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3
Nouvel Espoir 6/1 5TH
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4
Moltophino 4/1 🥉 3RD