← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden (Smullen Series)
Mr Fox’s call
Lunar Empress
MEDIUM Advised 13/8 Est. 36%
Mr Fox says
Lunar Empress (SR 96, 13/8) is the market's clear choice and that confidence is well-founded: she is the only runner with a meaningful race record (2542 form, finishing 2nd twice and 4th twice) in a field dominated by maidens and debutants, giving her an enormous experience edge. She carries 8-13 — a full stone lighter than the O'Brien pair — and that weight advantage is material on good ground over a mile. Jessica Harrington's 11% strike rate with Shane Foley (11% career, 1,786 runners) is a strong professional pairing, and the cheekpieces (HG:p) suggest connections have fine-tuned her for this assignment. With DistFit:~ confirming a moderate but workable record at the trip, and no obvious market drift to worry about, she is the likeliest winner by a clear margin. Each-way alternative: Ocean Phoenix. Main danger: Maximilien Luce — Maximilien Luce (SR 140, 8/1) is Aidan O'Brien's first string based on jockey booking (Lordan over Cleary) and has the second-highest SR in the field, so a debut improvement from his opening '0' run cannot be ruled out.
Full result
Winner: Even Par (IRE) at SP 25/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Even Par 28/1
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2
Lunar Empress Fox #1 6/5
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3
The Boogeyman Fox #4 14/1
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4
Belicoso 7/2
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5
Rare Blend 16/1
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6
Maximilien Luce Fox #3 15/2
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7
Celestial Order 18/1
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8
Ocean Phoenix Fox #2 9/1
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9
Silent Promise 33/1
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10
Lori Darlin 80/1
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11
Woodstream 11/1
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12
Anthony Of Lisbon 22/1
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13
Savannah Sun 125/1
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14
Clash 80/1
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15
Blue Glory 125/1
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—
The Captains Day 5/1
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—
Viola Young 28/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Lunar Empress 13/8 🥈 2ND
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2
Ocean Phoenix 11/1 8TH
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3
Maximilien Luce 8/1 6TH
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4
The Boogeyman 18/1 🥉 3RD