← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
DNG Excellence Handicap
Mr Fox’s call
Suir Monad
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/2 Est. 17%
Mr Fox says
Suir Monad (SR:75, 9/2) is the clear SR leader in this field by a significant margin — the next best are Navajo Point and Khormor Syd at SR:67 — and at 3 years old carries 10-3, which is heavy but reflective of that ability advantage. The form string -43431 shows consistent recent placing including a last-run win (rightmost digit 1), and trainer A. Slattery (11%, 1580 runners) is a competent handler. The MarkMv:+8 is the one caution — running off a mark 8lb higher than the last win — but the SR gap over the rest of the field is large enough to absorb that penalty. DistFit:? and GoingFit:? are unknowns, but at SR:75 in a field where the next rivals are SR:67, this horse has a meaningful class edge. Each-way alternative: Khormor Syd. Main danger: Metallic — Metallic (SR:47, 10/1) has steamed in 36% since opening — the strongest market move in the race — trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien (16%, 3235 runners, the standout trainer strike rate in the field), and apprentice allowance reduces the weight to an effective low burden from 8-7.
Full result
Winner: Anvika (IRE) at SP 14/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Anvika 14/1
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2
Storzando 10/1
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3
Jp's Express 22/1
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4
Suir Monad Fox #1 7/2
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5
No More Porter 16/1
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6
Navajo Point Fox #4 17/2
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7
Khormor Syd Fox #2 12/1
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8
Unterberg 20/1
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9
Spectical 33/1
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10
Thru And Thru 7/1
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11
Nibras Rainbow 9/1
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12
Metallic Fox #3 9/1
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13
Marta's Prince 40/1
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14
King Of Eze 66/1
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15
Lady Arwen 10/1
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16
Tero d'Rosa 10/1
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17
Morse 20/1
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18
Private Peaceful 16/1
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19
Tullyesker 66/1
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—
Moyassr 20/1
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—
Mare Crisium 12/1
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—
Chloe's Boy 11/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Suir Monad 9/2 🏁 4TH
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2
Khormor Syd 15/2 7TH
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3
Metallic 10/1 12TH
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4
Navajo Point 17/2 6TH