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Mr Fox’s call
Jam Lass
SPECULATIVE Advised 13/2 Est. 14%
Mr Fox says
Jam Lass (SR:63, 13/2) is the standout market mover in the field — a 36% steam since opening is the strongest money signal in the race, matching only Eeetee at 20/1 which is far less credible. She drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), has a course win and place to her name (Course:W1P1), and shows moderate distance and going fit (DistFit:~, GoingFit:~) which at least does not flag active problems. Her form string 96-734 is not flashy but the drop in class and the significant market confidence are pointing in the same direction. The mark is up 2lb from her last win (MarkMv:+2), which is a mild concern, but the class relief and sustained market move override that. Each-way alternative: Sweet Kiss. Main danger: Sweet Kiss — Sweet Kiss (SR:67, 4/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field, has steamed 19% in the market, drops a class, and has two places at Redcar (Course:W0P2) — the combination of top SR, market confidence and course familiarity makes her the most likely alternative winner, and the amateur jockey Miss Amy Collier carries a 18% strike rate which is strong for this sphere.
Full result
Winner: Sweet Kiss (GB) at SP 100/30F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Sweet Kiss Fox #2 7/2
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2
Electric Arc 8/1
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3
Pedro The Poet 9/2
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4
Alazwar Fox #4 12/1
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5
Star Start 17/2
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6
Woodleigh Fox #3 10/1
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7
Jam Lass Fox #1 11/2
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8
Cosmic Man 9/1
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9
Boy Named Sioux 22/1
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10
Tiberio Force 40/1
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11
Masekela 33/1
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12
Kitsune Power 18/1
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13
Eeetee 22/1
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14
Haltonwood 18/1
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Bumaan -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Jam Lass 13/2 7TH
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2
Sweet Kiss 4/1 SP 100/30F 🏆 WON
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3
Woodleigh 9/1 6TH
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4
Alazwar 17/2 🏁 4TH