Irishinjuredjockeys.com Apprentice Optional Claiming Race

17:00 Dundalk (AW) Fri 16 Oct 2026 1m2f150y Good 15 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Daonethatgotaway

SPECULATIVE Advised 11/1 Est. 9%

9TH

Mr Fox says

Daonethatgotaway (SR:64, 11/1) is the most compelling convergence of signals in this field. The market has hammered it in by 39% — the sharpest move in the race — suggesting informed money is backing this down from a much longer price. It is proven at Dundalk (Course:W3P13), confirmed on today's going (GoingFit:+, the only runner in the field with a '+' on going), carries a light 9-2, and runs off a mark just 1lb below last win (MarkMv:-1). Against the field-topping SR:90 favourite Tyson Fury, the key negatives are plain: Tyson Fury is drifting 14% in the market, has DistFit:- at this trip, and his form reads 610608 — the last run a 8th. The favourite's market is moving the wrong way while Daonethatgotaway's is moving sharply in the right direction, and the going advantage is a real edge on an AW card where ground preferences carry weight. Each-way alternative: Goldrush Kid. Main danger: Tyson Fury — Tyson Fury holds the field's highest SR (90) by a clear margin, carries a featherweight 9-1, has course form (Course:W2P5), and a -11lb mark drop (MarkMv:-11) — if he handles the trip better than his DistFit:- suggests, his raw ability could overwhelm the field regardless of the drift.

Verify· #23726

Full result

Winner: Tyson Fury (GB) at SP 9/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.