← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
BAR 1 Betting 'Supporting Irish Racing' Handicap
Mr Fox’s call
Ocean's Breath
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/2 SP 2/1F Est. 26%
Mr Fox says
Ocean's Breath (SR 96, 5/2) is the clear class leader in this field — the next best SR is 83, a gap of 13 points — and crucially is the only runner confirmed fit for both today's trip and going (DistFit:+, GoingFit:+). The 104-day break is a slight query but G. M. Lyons (16%, 973 runners) is a yard that targets specific races and Colin Keane (16%, 2390 runners) is the stable's clear #1 booking over stablemate Howd'yadoit who gets Robert Whearty. The MarkMv:+5 means she runs off a slightly higher mark than at her last win, but with a 9-11 weight that still gives her a lbs edge over most rivals, and her recent 4-1-9-1-3 form at this venue (Course:W1P1) demonstrates she handles Dundalk. No other runner combines SR leadership, proven trip, proven going, and a top handler/jockey pairing. Each-way alternative: Exquisite Acclaim. Main danger: Headmaster — Headmaster (SR 78, 15/2) has steamed in 33% in the market, carries a light 9-8, GoingFit:+ confirmed, and Dylan Browne McMonagle (17%, 1730 runners) is among the sharpest jockeys in Ireland — if the market move reflects stable confidence, the tongue-tie fitting could unlock the form that produced a '2' and '1' in recent starts.
Full result
Winner: Ocean's Breath (IRE) at SP 2/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Ocean's Breath Fox #1 15/8
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2
Valiant Force 10/1
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3
Boston Benjamin 22/1
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4
Ohailbhic 14/1
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5
Exquisite Acclaim Fox #2 11/2
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6
City House 13/2
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7
Kindergarten 22/1
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8
Howd'yadoit 14/1
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9
Cool Azul Fox #4 15/2
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10
Headmaster Fox #3 7/1
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11
Frescobaldi 22/1
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12
Brewing 33/1
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—
Spicy Margarita 50/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Ocean's Breath 5/2 SP 2/1F 🏆 WON
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2
Exquisite Acclaim 9/2 5TH
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3
Headmaster 15/2 10TH
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4
Cool Azul 17/2 9TH