← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Handicap
Mr Fox’s call
Avec Grand Plaisir
SPECULATIVE Advised 3/1 Est. 22%
Mr Fox says
Avec Grand Plaisir (SR:77, 3/1) is the clear SR leader in this field by 7 points over Eastern Peace (SR:70), carries a competitive 9-9, and has confirmed form on this going (GoingFit:+) with a recent win in the form string (753821 — last run a win). The 50-day absence is a mild concern, but the trainer Jarlath Fahey runs at 8% and the horse arrives proven on this ground. The market drift of 19% is the one flag — however, the price remains shortest or joint-shortest in the race, and no rival has both the SR advantage and the going confirmation. Eastern Peace (SR:70, 7/2) is the obvious danger but carries GoingFit:- on today's going and is 4lb heavier-equivalent given its course record is modest (W1P1). The SR gap and proven ground preference justify siding with Avec Grand Plaisir despite the drift. Each-way alternative: Eastern Peace. Main danger: Eastern Peace — Eastern Peace (SR:70, 7/2) is the second-highest SR in the field, drops 4lb on its mark (MarkMv:-4), and has course form (W1P1) — the GoingFit:- is the only meaningful knock and it could outrun that on a flat AW surface.
Full result
Winner: Enchanted Lady (GB) at SP 11/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Enchanted Lady Fox #3 5/1
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2
Felix Somary 9/1
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3
Avec Grand Plaisir Fox #1 7/1
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4
Eastern Peace Fox #2 10/3
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5
Trumph 28/1
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6
Dancing Steve 15/2
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7
Tribal Moon 13/2
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8
Big Jake 9/1
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9
Comfort Line 33/1
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10
Celtic Druid 17/2
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11
Lamberella 50/1
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12
Summer Snow 22/1
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13
Tyraxes 50/1
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14
Expound 9/1
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—
Limestone Red 12/1
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—
Elusive Duke SP
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—
Glamazon 12/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Avec Grand Plaisir 3/1 🥉 3RD
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2
Eastern Peace 7/2 🏁 4TH
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3
Enchanted Lady 9/1 SP 11/2 🏆 WON