← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Bet @racingtv.com Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Ada Rose
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/1 Est. 19%
Mr Fox says
Ada Rose (SR:68, 5/1) carries the highest SR in the field at a light 9-2, giving her a clear ability edge over Femme Fatale (SR:67, 9-5 heavier) and Electric Gambler (SR:58, 9-1 lightest but notably inferior SR). The market has backed her in sharply — Mkt:in33% is the strongest steaming signal in the race — suggesting informed money at a price that still offers value. Her form reads 391622, showing consistent participation at the business end, and running off a mark 7lb above her last win is the one caution, though the light weight assignment at 9-2 in this Class 6 field absorbs that penalty. With DistFit:? and GoingFit:?, we lack confirmation on trip and ground, but the same uncertainty applies to most rivals, and her SR advantage plus the strong market move make her the most compelling case. Each-way alternative: Femme Fatale. Main danger: Femme Fatale — Femme Fatale (SR:67, 6/1) matches Ada Rose for top SR, has been backed in 13%, carries a proven DistFit:+ at today's trip, has a course placing (Course:W0P1), and benefits from the lightest competitive weight assignment at 9-5 — if she brings her best over this distance the mark rise of +2 is negligible.
Full result
Winner: Electric Gambler (IRE) at SP 4/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Electric Gambler Fox #3 4/1
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2
No Ordinary Joe 18/1
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3
Noble Grace 9/1
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4
Ada Rose Fox #1 9/2
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5
Public Enemy 25/1
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6
Further Measure 16/1
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7
La Trinite 9/1
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8
Femme Fatale Fox #2 9/1
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9
Make It Up 10/1
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10
State Express 6/1
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11
Letmebetheboss 20/1
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12
Shopaholic 6/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Ada Rose 5/1 🏁 4TH
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2
Femme Fatale 6/1 8TH
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3
Electric Gambler 9/2 SP 4/1 🏆 WON