← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Celebrating Helen Mackinnon's LX Years Handicap Stakes (Div II)
Mr Fox’s call
Profiteer
SPECULATIVE Advised 17/2 Est. 12%
Mr Fox says
Profiteer (SR:50, 17/2) lands in a competitive soft-ground sprint with the clearest going confirmation in the field (GoingFit:+), and the market has backed that up with a 23% move in — significant for a horse at this price. Carrying only 9-0, the lightest weight among the main contenders, gives a meaningful advantage over Knicks (9-9) and My Mate Mackley (9-6) despite a similar SR of 60 to both. The MarkMv:-15 means this horse is running off a mark 15lb below its last win, a very generous position. Tim Easterby and David Allan (11%/13% strike rates) are competent connections who show up on a confirmed soft-ground, course-placed (W0P2) horse with market confidence behind it. Each-way alternative: Eldeyaar. Main danger: Knicks — Knicks carries the joint-top SR of 60, has a MarkMv:-15 advantage and placed at this course (W0P1), and while it has drifted 7% and GoingFit is only moderate, Joanna Mason rides with confidence and the mark drop is substantial enough to compensate.
Full result
Winner: Eldeyaar (IRE) at SP 3/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Eldeyaar Fox #2 4/1
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2
Suzette 5/1
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3
Mayflower Rock 10/1
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4
Knicks Fox #3 7/2
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5
Winter Crown 18/1
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6
My Mate Mackley 9/2
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7
Ski Angel 17/2
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8
Profiteer Fox #1 17/2
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9
Container Express 40/1
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10
Sweet Desire 28/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Profiteer 17/2 8TH
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2
Eldeyaar 5/1 SP 3/1F 🏆 WON
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3
Knicks 10/3 🏁 4TH